January 15th, 2016

old books

QotD: Foresight

Foresight isn't
a mysterious gift bestowed at birth.
It is the product of particular ways of thinking,
of gathering information,
of updating beliefs.
These habits of thought can be learned and cultivated
by any intelligent, thoughtful,
determined person.

--Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner on page 18 in
Superforecasting; the Art and Science of Prediction